Question

Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?

Resolved :Yes75%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction75% (63% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

23.7

Community Beer Score

37.1

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

There is something unexpected happening in the universe, Nasa’s most powerful ever telescope shows

Independent•Dec 10, 2024

NASA's James Webb Telescope Reveals Universe Expanding Faster Than Thought

Newsweek•Dec 11, 2024

NASA's most powerful telescope detects something unexpected happening to the universe

Daily Mail•Dec 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

30.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

There is something unexpected happening in the universe, Nasa’s most powerful ever telescope shows

Independent•Dec 10, 2024

NASA's James Webb Telescope Reveals Universe Expanding Faster Than Thought

Newsweek•Dec 11, 2024

NASA's most powerful telescope detects something unexpected happening to the universe

Daily Mail•Dec 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

30.1%

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Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?

Make a Prediction

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

Comments

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?