Question

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

Resolved :Yes52%

22 comments22

Total Forecasters167

Community Prediction52% (25% - 71%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-31.9

Community Peer Score

9.0

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Nov 11, 2015

Closes:

Jun 7, 2016

Resolves:

Jun 7, 2016

Leber congenital amaurosis

Anti-ageing jabs – they can rejuvenate mice, but will they work on humans?

Guardian•Feb 9, 2025

GeneDx CEO wants genetic testing for every newborn

Associated Press•Feb 11, 2025

Pig-to-Human Organ Transplants Will Finally Begin Clinical Trials This Year

Scientific American•Feb 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Nov 11, 2015

Closes:

Jun 7, 2016

Resolves:

Jun 7, 2016

Leber congenital amaurosis

Anti-ageing jabs – they can rejuvenate mice, but will they work on humans?

Guardian•Feb 9, 2025

GeneDx CEO wants genetic testing for every newborn

Associated Press•Feb 11, 2025

Pig-to-Human Organ Transplants Will Finally Begin Clinical Trials This Year

Scientific American•Feb 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

40.6

Will the first human clone be made in China?

38.3%

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

2031-01-15