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Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?

Resolved :No5%

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Community Prediction5% (1% - 15%)

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Authors:

Greg

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Closes:

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Cosimo II de' Medici, Grand Duke of Tuscany

International Astronomical Union

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Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?

10%

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Cosimo II de' Medici, Grand Duke of Tuscany

International Astronomical Union

Planets Form In A ‘Domino Effect’ Around Stars, Scientists Say

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Astronomers Propose Radical New Way To Look For Signs Of Energy- Hungry Aliens

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Sky Candy and the Planets: It’s Complicated

PJ Media•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?

10%

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Will the IAU-sanctioned Exoplanet Names come into regular use?

Make a Prediction

Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Comments

Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?