Question

Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?

Resolved :No20%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters375

Community Prediction20% (5% - 32%)

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50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Natural Sciences

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Energy

Lockheed Martin

Skunk Works

Lockheed Martin Compact Fusion Reactor

Aerospace engineering

Physics

Lockheed Martin P-791

Skunkworks

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

‘World’s first’ grid-scale nuclear fusion power plant announced in the US in another step for the futuristic energy

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

2049-08-17

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2041-02-13

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

12.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Natural Sciences

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Energy

Lockheed Martin

Skunk Works

Lockheed Martin Compact Fusion Reactor

Aerospace engineering

Physics

Lockheed Martin P-791

Skunkworks

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

‘World’s first’ grid-scale nuclear fusion power plant announced in the US in another step for the futuristic energy

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

2049-08-17

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2041-02-13

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

12.5%

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Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019?

Make a Prediction

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

Comments

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?