Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
aristophanes
Predictions
7905
Comments
65
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by aristophanes
Will the next COVID VOC be milder than Omicron?
Resolved :
Annulled
70%
74 forecasters
5
16 comments
16
How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022?
Resolved :
5.91M
6.63M
386 forecasters
14
47 comments
47
Ukraine Conflict
Will Evergrande default on its debt before the end of 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
54%
49 forecasters
14
24 comments
24