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544 predictions on 278 questions (170 resolved)
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37 comments on 19 questions
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219 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries) (21 forecasts)
- Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries) (20 forecasts)
- Will the US restrict transfer of AI architectures, training algorithms, or documentation etc. before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries) (18 forecasts)
- Will the US restrict transfer of AI architectures, training algorithms, or documentation etc. before 2026? (Deny some entities) (18 forecasts)
- Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing) (17 forecasts)