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Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

16.52AVERAGE PEER SCORE
5266TOTAL PREDICTIONS
293QUESTIONS PREDICTED
235QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
4FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
322COMMENTS AUTHORED