M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.

Calibration Curve


Score Scatter Plot


Score Histogram

Forecasting Stats

20.75AVERAGE PEER SCORE
148TOTAL PREDICTIONS
148QUESTIONS PREDICTED
1QUESTIONS SCORED

Authoring Stats

3QUESTIONS AUTHORED
74FORECASTS ON AUTHORED QUESTIONS
0NOTEBOOKS AUTHORED
31COMMENTS AUTHORED