Question

Will Lula be a candidate for president of Brazil in 2026?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction

50.2%

(33% - 74%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50.2%

Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Oct 25, 2024

Closes:

Jun 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 15, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 25, 2024

Brazil Forecast Community

Politics

Brazil’s top court to decide if ex-President Bolsonaro will face charges. What could happen next?

Associated Press•Mar 24, 2025

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Newsweek•Mar 23, 2025

Eduardo Bolsonaro, Son of Former President Jair, Says He Will Leave Brazil to Seek Asylum in U.S.

Breitbart•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

33.3%

Will the inflation rate in Brazil be lower in 2025 than it was in 2024?

34%

Will the Legal Framework for Artificial Intelligence (AI) be approved in the Chamber of Deputies by March 2025?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Oct 25, 2024

Closes:

Jun 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 15, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 25, 2024

Brazil Forecast Community

Politics

Brazil’s top court to decide if ex-President Bolsonaro will face charges. What could happen next?

Associated Press•Mar 24, 2025

AOC's Chances of Becoming Democrats' 2028 Presidential Nominee: Polls

Newsweek•Mar 23, 2025

Eduardo Bolsonaro, Son of Former President Jair, Says He Will Leave Brazil to Seek Asylum in U.S.

Breitbart•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

33.3%

Will the inflation rate in Brazil be lower in 2025 than it was in 2024?

34%

Will the Legal Framework for Artificial Intelligence (AI) be approved in the Chamber of Deputies by March 2025?

10%