📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

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/Brazil Forecast Community

conditional

Will Fernanda Torres be nominated in the Best Actress category at the 2025 Oscars?

if yes

if no

Will Fernanda Torres win the best actress category at the 2025 Oscars?

Will Fernanda Torres win the best actress category at the 2025 Oscars?

-1

Make a Prediction

Will Fernanda Torres be nominated in the Best Actress category at the 2025 Oscars?	Will Fernanda Torres win the best actress category at the 2025 Oscars?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 50%

The question "Will Fernanda Torres be nominated in the Best Actress category at the 2025 Oscars?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will Fernanda Torres win the Oscar for Best Actress in 2025?" resolves.

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Brazil Forecast Community

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Brazil Forecast Community