Question

What percentage of the Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan 2024 budget will be funded by December 31, 2024?

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Total Forecasters2

Community Prediction42.9

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

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36.41

42.89

Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

How has the UNSC voted since the beginning of Israel’s war on Gaza?

Al Jazeera•Nov 21, 2024

US envoy sees no ‘political appetite’ among Sudan’s combatants to end the country’s devastating war

Associated Press•Nov 22, 2024

2024 Becomes Deadliest Year Ever for Humanitarian Aid Workers

Newsweek•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?

2.83M

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

36.8%

How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley?

10.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MAD2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

How has the UNSC voted since the beginning of Israel’s war on Gaza?

Al Jazeera•Nov 21, 2024

US envoy sees no ‘political appetite’ among Sudan’s combatants to end the country’s devastating war

Associated Press•Nov 22, 2024

2024 Becomes Deadliest Year Ever for Humanitarian Aid Workers

Newsweek•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?

2.83M

Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?

36.8%

How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley?

10.3