Question

What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?

Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction1.25 (1.05 - 1.46)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%1.049
median1.254
upper 75%1.461
Upper bound
>22.5%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026

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