Question
In what year will there will be High Level Machine Intelligence which can accomplish every cognitive task better and more cheaply than human workers?
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction2028-09-11 (2026-12-21 - 2031-06-05)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Dec 2026 | — |
| median | Sep 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2031 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2069-12-31 | 0.8% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2069
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2069
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
