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Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
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What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025, in USD billions?
Closed
18.2
9 forecasters
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0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?
1.25
12 forecasters
2
no comments
0
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Closed
81.2
10 forecasters
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0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Closed
1.24
10 forecasters
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0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Cybersecurity?
Closed
90%
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
In what year will there will be High Level Machine Intelligence which can accomplish every cognitive task better and more cheaply than human workers?
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2031-07-23
6 forecasters
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0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
Closed
72.5
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?
Closed
65%
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
How likely do you think it is that overall, the impact of High Level Machine Intelligence will be extremely negative for humanity in the long run?
Closed
71%
6 forecasters
1 comment
1
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?
Closed
94.2
10 forecasters
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
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