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By what year will an AI achieve at least 85% on Francois Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus?

1

When will models hit 75% on SWE-Bench [Edit: Verified version]

3

When will the market for industrial robots reach $100 trillion in size?

What will be total US power consumption in terrawatt hours in 2031?

Will China have the largest AI model in 2035? (Resolve "yes" in ambiguous cases)

1

When will it be reported (in mainstream media) that Open AI thinks they have achieved level 2 AI (human-level reasoners)

Forecast data is empty

When will it be reported (in mainstream media) that Open AI thinks they have achieved level 3 AI (agents that can reliable execute tasks over several days)

Forecast data is empty

When will it be reported (in mainstream media) that Open AI thinks they have achieved level 4 AI (AI capable of innovation)?

Forecast data is empty

Will AGI-caused economic growth lead to lab-grown meat pushing out factory farming?

1

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

2