Question
When will models hit 75% on SWE-Bench [Edit: Verified version]
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction2025-07-29 (2025-02-23 - 2026-09-28)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2024-08-14 | 7.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Feb 2025 | — |
| median | Jul 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2060-12-31 | 0.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2061
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2061
