Question

When will it be reported (in mainstream media) that Open AI thinks they have achieved level 3 AI (agents that can reliable execute tasks over several days)

Total Forecasters1

Community Prediction2025-05-18 (2025-02-27 - 2025-08-08)

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weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2055-12-31
community	Feb 2025	May 2025	Aug 2025	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Feb 2025	—
median	May 2025	—
upper 75%	Aug 2025	—
Upper bound
>2055-12-31	0.1%	—

Authors:

DavidA.B.Mathers

Opened:

Aug 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2045

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 9, 2046

Alvin's Community Page

David Mathers' Community

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