Question
When will it be reported (in mainstream media) that Open AI thinks they have achieved level 4 AI (AI capable of innovation)?
Total Forecasters1
Community Prediction2025-08-04 (2025-04-24 - 2025-11-18)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Apr 2025 | — |
| median | Aug 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Nov 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2064-12-31 | 0.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2064
Scheduled resolution:Feb 13, 2065
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2064
Scheduled resolution:Feb 13, 2065
