Question

When will models hit 90% on SWE-Bench (Verified Version)

Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction2025-09-21 (2025-03-28 - 2026-07-24)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Mar 2025
medianSep 2025
upper 75%Jul 2026
Upper bound
>2062-06-300.1%
Opened:Sep 27, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2061
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2062

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