M

/David Mathers' Community

Question

Will US government forbid an AI training run outside the US for national security reasons by 2038?

1

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction36% (33% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 36%

Authors:

DavidA.B.Mathers

Opened:

Sep 27, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2038

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 1, 2039

David Mathers' Community

U.S. Pushes for Less AI Regulation at Paris Summit

Time•Feb 12, 2025

Paris AI summit: Why won’t US, UK sign global artificial intelligence pact?

Al Jazeera•Feb 12, 2025

Google says U.S. is facing a power capacity crisis in AI race against China

NBC•Feb 13, 2025

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Comments

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Authors:

DavidA.B.Mathers

Opened:

Sep 27, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2038

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 1, 2039

David Mathers' Community

U.S. Pushes for Less AI Regulation at Paris Summit

Time•Feb 12, 2025

Paris AI summit: Why won’t US, UK sign global artificial intelligence pact?

Al Jazeera•Feb 12, 2025

Google says U.S. is facing a power capacity crisis in AI race against China

NBC•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch