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Bright Line Watch
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Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?
45%
950 forecasters
13
6 comments
6
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
22%
138 forecasters
19
34 comments
34
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?
55%
1082 forecasters
34
18 comments
18
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?
20%
130 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
63%
71 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Bright Line Watch
Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026?
25%
128 forecasters
12
33 comments
33
Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?
1%
63 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?
4%
190 forecasters
7
10 comments
10
Bright Line Watch
Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act?
11%
60 forecasters
2
2 comments
2
Bright Line Watch
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
46%
67 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Bright Line Watch
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