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Bright Line Watch

5 Followers

25 Questions

Moderated by JohnCarey

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Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

1010 forecasters

25

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

885 forecasters

15

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?

12 percentage points this week

4

Bright Line Watch

Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?

42 percentage points this week

4

Bright Line Watch

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

23 percentage points this week

2

Bright Line Watch

Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?

26.3 percentage points this week

3

Bright Line Watch

Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?

2

Bright Line Watch

Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?

Bright Line Watch

Will eight or more of the fifteen heads of the executive departments be serving in an acting role on December 31, 2026?

2

Bright Line Watch

Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections?

28 percentage points this week

3

Bright Line Watch