Question

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

no comments0

Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction75% (71% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Sep 28, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 28, 2025

Bright Line Watch

Politics

Social Sciences

Can Trump Cancel Government Funds Through Impoundment? What To Know As He Pauses All Federal Assistance.

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

Trump's effort to withhold federal funding will trigger 'imminent legal action'

NBC•Jan 29, 2025

Trump’s spending freeze sets up a future possible Supreme Court showdown over presidential power

CNN•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump successfully end all new U.S. offshore wind energy projects by executive order before April 21, 2025?

12.6%

Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?

11%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

98%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Sep 28, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 28, 2025

Bright Line Watch

Politics

Social Sciences

Can Trump Cancel Government Funds Through Impoundment? What To Know As He Pauses All Federal Assistance.

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

Trump's effort to withhold federal funding will trigger 'imminent legal action'

NBC•Jan 29, 2025

Trump’s spending freeze sets up a future possible Supreme Court showdown over presidential power

CNN•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump successfully end all new U.S. offshore wind energy projects by executive order before April 21, 2025?

12.6%

Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?

11%

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

98%