Question

Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?

no comments0

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction11% (10% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 11%

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Bright Line Watch

Politics

Social Sciences

Trump warns he'll adjourn Congress to make recess appointments. How would that work?

CBS•Jan 23, 2025

This Is How Trump Plans to Combat Senate Dems Slow-Walking His Cabinet Appointments

Townhall•Jan 23, 2025

How Much Power Does President Trump Have?

New Yorker•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?

28%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

75%

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

1.6%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Bright Line Watch

Politics

Social Sciences

Trump warns he'll adjourn Congress to make recess appointments. How would that work?

CBS•Jan 23, 2025

This Is How Trump Plans to Combat Senate Dems Slow-Walking His Cabinet Appointments

Townhall•Jan 23, 2025

How Much Power Does President Trump Have?

New Yorker•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?

28%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

75%

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

1.6%