Question

Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?

no comments0

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction33.3% (17% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33.3%

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Bright Line Watch

Politics

Social Sciences

An assessment of some Trump actions taken during inauguration speech

OpEdNews•Jan 23, 2025

It Begins: US Military Orders Troops to Southern Border As Trump Vows to 'Repel Forms of Invasion'

Red State•Jan 23, 2025

Jan 25th 2025 Edition

Economist•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?

14%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

75%

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Bright Line Watch

Politics

Social Sciences

An assessment of some Trump actions taken during inauguration speech

OpEdNews•Jan 23, 2025

It Begins: US Military Orders Troops to Southern Border As Trump Vows to 'Repel Forms of Invasion'

Red State•Jan 23, 2025

Jan 25th 2025 Edition

Economist•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?

14%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

75%