Question

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction59% (50% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 59%

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Trump’s Justice Dept. vows to end college affirmative action — here’s where to start

New York Post•Feb 23, 2025

Trump and GOP are ‘overreading’ a landmark Supreme Court decision as they target DEI, legal experts argue

CNN•Feb 24, 2025

Opinion | The Department of Education’s D.E.I. Letter Just Threatened the Existence of Many Colleges

New York Times•Feb 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

46%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jack.andolina

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Trump’s Justice Dept. vows to end college affirmative action — here’s where to start

New York Post•Feb 23, 2025

Trump and GOP are ‘overreading’ a landmark Supreme Court decision as they target DEI, legal experts argue

CNN•Feb 24, 2025

Opinion | The Department of Education’s D.E.I. Letter Just Threatened the Existence of Many Colleges

New York Times•Feb 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

46%