Question

What is the probability that the weather in Warwick, RI will fall below 43 degrees F at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?

Resolved :No13%

no comments0

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction13% (10% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

72.6

Community Peer Score

20.7

Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Sep 26, 2024

Closes:

Oct 10, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 10, 2024

Brown University Forecasting Team

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Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

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45.6%

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

Comments

? comments

Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Sep 26, 2024

Closes:

Oct 10, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 10, 2024

Brown University Forecasting Team

2024 Leaderboard

Is Detroit's Warm Weather Ending? Snow Forecast, Predictions

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Very cold weather is coming. US about to get 10th and chilliest polar vortex this winter

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

28 States Brace for Another Winter Storm Next Week

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%