Question

What is the probability that a Westbound Amtrak Sunset Limited train reports a delay of more than 4 hours upon arriving at its terminus before the 10:00 AM on 10/24?

Resolved :No7%

no comments0

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction7% (0.1% - 18%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

80.5

Community Peer Score

5.1

Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Oct 10, 2024

Closes:

Oct 20, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 24, 2024

Brown University Forecasting Team

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