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How many nuclear reactors will be in operation in the US on December 31, 2035?
127
20 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Will equipment to make fuel from CO2 and water be deployed on Mars and make at least 1 ton per week of rocket fuel (methane) before 2030?
5%
35 percentage points this week
8 forecasters
no comments
0
In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?
2054-08-19
3 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors?
79%
29 percentage points this week
3 forecasters
no comments
0
What percentage of their January 2024 search interest will these longevity interventions retain in January 2030?
Epigenetic reprogramming
107
Ozempic
86
Metformin
86.2
3 others
1
no comments
0
Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?
1%
4 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
When will the following milestones in mapping and reconstruction of a mouse (or larger) brain be completed?
Annotated and labeled connectome ≥95% accurate
31 Jul 2043
Digital mapping and simulation with ≥90% functional accuracy
?
2
no comments
0
Foresight Institute
Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?
99.9%
1 forecaster
1 comment
1
Foresight Institute
By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?
No forecasts yet
1 comment
1
Foresight Institute
Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?
33%
4 forecasters
1
no comments
0
Foresight Institute
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