Question
Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?
Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction75% (14% - 85%)
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 21, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2030
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Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
22%
Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?
33%
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
50%
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 21, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
22%
Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?
33%
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
50%