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Future Perfect
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Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
57%
1185 forecasters
62
31 comments
31
Future Perfect
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
21%
1620 forecasters
62
53 comments
53
Future Perfect
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
11%
1013 forecasters
30
15 comments
15
Future Perfect
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?
70%
1202 forecasters
64
13 comments
13
Future Perfect
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
42%
1257 forecasters
24
44 comments
44
Future Perfect
Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?
12%
989 forecasters
-2
22 comments
22
Future Perfect
Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?
80%
1271 forecasters
30
27 comments
27
Future Perfect
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
15%
941 forecasters
12
17 comments
17
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Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?
25%
928 forecasters
24
15 comments
15
Future Perfect
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
10%
989 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
Future Perfect
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