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Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

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Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

50%

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

10%

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? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

The bird flu outbreak keeps getting more worrying

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

What We Know About America’s First ‘Severe’ Bird-Flu Case

•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

50%

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

10%

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Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Make a Prediction

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

Comments

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?