Question

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters168

Community Prediction18% (12% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 18%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Dec 11, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Future Perfect

Health & Pandemics

2024-2025 Leaderboard

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Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

17%

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

61%

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

8.1%

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