Question

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

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Total Forecasters9

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50%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Israel Forces Remain in Syria Buffer Zone, Citing Border Security

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Israeli Civilian Harm Mitigation in Gaza: Gold Standard or Fool’s Gold?

•Dec 18, 2024

Israel’s borders have shifted throughout its history. Action in Syria may reshape them again

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?

91%

Comments

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Israel Forces Remain in Syria Buffer Zone, Citing Border Security

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Israeli Civilian Harm Mitigation in Gaza: Gold Standard or Fool’s Gold?

•Dec 18, 2024

Israel’s borders have shifted throughout its history. Action in Syria may reshape them again

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?

91%

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Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

Make a Prediction

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?

Comments

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?