Question

Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters276

Community Prediction17% (10% - 34%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Future Perfect

Artificial Intelligence

2024-2025 Leaderboard

OpenAI boss Sam Altman says human-level intelligence is coming – and it won’t be fair

Independent•Feb 12, 2025

Meta says it may stop development of AI systems it deems too risky

TechCrunch•Feb 16, 2025

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

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