Question

Will there be a "GPT-5 level" model, as judged by community consensus, released by December 31, 2025?

no comments0

Total Forecasters0

Community PredictionNo forecasts yet

Make a Prediction

50%

Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Jan 5, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2026

Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI cancels its o3 AI model in favor of a ‘unified’ next-gen release

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

OpenAI lays out plans for GPT-5

Verge•Feb 13, 2025

Sam Altman details the plan for OpenAI's GPT-5

Business Insider•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a large-scale cyberattack in which Generative AI plays an important causal role occur by December 31, 2025?

Will artificial general intelligence (AGI) arrive in 2025?

33%

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Jan 5, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2026

Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI cancels its o3 AI model in favor of a ‘unified’ next-gen release

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

OpenAI lays out plans for GPT-5

Verge•Feb 13, 2025

Sam Altman details the plan for OpenAI's GPT-5

Business Insider•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a large-scale cyberattack in which Generative AI plays an important causal role occur by December 31, 2025?

Will artificial general intelligence (AGI) arrive in 2025?

33%