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Leaderboards

Peer Accuracy

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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The Peer Accuracy leaderboards used slightly different math before 2024. See details here.

	User	Questions	Score
1	JonathanShi	123	26.6
2	rappatoni	46	24.8
3	orion.tjungarryi	40	22.7
4	yagudin	34	21.8
5	lkr	47	20.9
6	Ab5A8bd20V	56	20.6
7	blednotik	66	20.5
8	Sergio	199	20.2
9	Zermelo	56	20.2
10	ege_erdil	49	19.8
11	pepsiclear	41	19.5
12	uszy	71	19.2
13	isabel	111	19.1
14	Sune	53	19
15	kgreene	55	18.9
16	RuslanBes	45	18.8
17	cdo256	43	18.1
18	jpmos	33	17.6
19	feistyguar	61	17.6
20	cmeinel	46	17.5
21	CastilianoVulgo	72	17.5
22	FJehn	78	17.4
23	thezvi	43	16.8
24	mooball	67	16.5
25	AndrewMundy	36	16.4
26	jacyanthis	20	16.4
27	mag00	26	16.3
28	danickschwartz	37	16.3
29	copacetic	82	16
30	mainlinevkk	37	16
31	dvasya	60	15.8
32	kcd.bad	32	15.8
33	twsummer	61	15.6
34	SimonM	237	15.4
35	Baisius	51	15.4
36	rantahar	91	15.3
37	cheeseboy	39	15.2
38	swinkler1978	25	14.8
39	yigido	47	14.7
40	bengs	54	14.6
41	purpleorange	72	14.6
42	xenohunter	69	14.4
43	probahilliby	92	14.2
44	traviswfisher	50	14.1
45	OpenSystem	75	13.8
46	NoUsernameSelected	81	13.8
47	andrmoe	70	13.6
48	alcherblack	43	13.3
49	Hartmut	48	13.3
50	Simulacrum	38	13.3
51	BionicD0LPH1N	85	13.2
52	tomasz	46	13.1
53	tournoy	60	12.9
54	BrianGoodrich	111	12.9
55	paleink	65	12.8
56	PSR	31	12.8
57	stanulamstan	88	12.7
58	mmmeta	77	12.7
59	wobblybobby	87	12.6
60	fldnflncs	92	12.6
61	elifland	34	12.5
62	Mattie-Liz	25	12.5
63	igoris	37	12.4
64	8	108	12.3
65	uran235	51	12.2
66	Jgalt	197	12.2
67	gumbo	64	12.2
68	Prodicus	89	12.1
69	hawkebia	58	12.1
70	Morten	39	12
71	kaarelh	54	11.9
72	rosgull	15	11.9
73	qumidium	94	11.9
74	Mellaculus	67	11.9
75	stupidme	38	11.8
76	Symmetry	29	11.7
77	Balasar	53	11.7
78	PedeJo	64	11.7
79	helpermonkey	91	11.6
80	borshigida	39	11.6
81	steven0461	37	11.6
82	evanbd	89	11.5
83	TeeJayKay	412	11.5
84	hyperflare	79	11.4
85	chazo	34	11.4
86	PeterDowdy	52	11.4
87	pagouy	26	11.4
88	MaxR	36	11.3
89	gunturiqbal	167	11.3
90	RichardHanania	19	11.3
91	yaquaeyu	39	11.3
92	dsj	39	11.2
93	emilowk	77	11.2
94	mattvdm	91	11.1
95	aristophanes	159	11
96	pelegsh	35	11
97	adrunkhuman	39	11
98	Sean85	41	10.8
99	jack	93	10.8
100	RickMcCoy	45	10.7
101	Charles	146	10.7
102	proc1on	88	10.6
103	leon.waterman	39	10.5
104	maxdietz	28	10.5
105	MKUltra	80	10.3
106	BrunoParga	45	10.3
107	datscilly	340	10.3
108	dtark	128	10.2
109	kalimeros	27	10.1
110	Joker	55	10.1
111	Roko	14	10
112	Bristol_OPT	88	10
113	haukurth	22	9.99
114	sitte.adam	45	9.78
115	Duc	36	9.76
116	jowo	121	9.68
117	liopage	16	9.67
118	HopefullyGoodGuesses	12	9.66
119	satisficer	65	9.56
120	Glossy	120	9.54
121	marekondrejka	50	9.53
122	PMC_UwU	20	9.52
123	krissebastianmartin	25	9.48
124	Hayes	62	9
125	BellardiaLemonus	496	9.37
126	lwmarti	18	9.29
127	waebi	75	9.28
128	johnnycaffeine	108	9.27
129	q_rat	53	9.27
130	ZeroInsight	51	9.26
131	billmo	50	9.23
132	AngraMainyu	133	9.19
133	dmkr	20	9.12
134	Lowe	59	9
135	sxqk	38	9.04
136	Aithir	52	9.02
137	jonathanjouty	52	9.01
138	twocents	17	9
139	ChALkeR	46	8.99
140	silence	45	8.96
141	palcu	124	8.95
142	qwertie256	16	8.85
143	katifish	131	8.85
144	arcxi	65	8.85
145	davebell27	30	8.75
146	demirev	20	8.73
147	galen	488	8.72
148	MisterMap	30	8.69
149	equationist	50	8.66
150	PepeS	592	8.54
151	Gillesbert	20	8.51
152	alexlyzhov	12	8.49
153	alexanderpasch	132	8.49
154	txt	16	8.48
155	Meindert	18	8.47
156	ce	61	8.42
157	Kami	54	8.39
158	SpottedBear	57	8.36
159	reignoffire	29	8.35
160	michal_dubrawski	16	8.33
161	qweered	30	8.26
162	NathanpmYoung	73	8.26
163	JacobMalach	37	8.18
164	forecastooor	56	8.17
165	ad42astra	122	8.15
166	avdeevdan	48	8.14
167	exmateriae	302	8.04
168	easystar	21	7.99
169	rws	24	7.97
170	chipsie	222	7.96
171	fikisipi	59	7.93
172	Aaron14	25	7.91
173	rudyrey	43	7.89
174	Astra	72	7.85
175	mishasamin	21	7.85
176	Eltanin	67	7.77
177	Vang	530	7.73
178	ksipe	110	7.69
179	dieortin	23	7.63
180	RyanCarey	25	7.62
181	nr3forecasting	112	7.58
182	Algon33	25	7.58
183	abra	19	7
184	santithebest	43	7.43
185	hzds	27	7.42
186	adambear91	14	7
187	pilrus	30	7.39
188	lisan	15	7.31
189	egor.duda	17	7.28
190	uganda	208	7.28
191	dosimetrist	22	7.27
192	tristan1832	13	7.25
193	MatthewBaggins	20	7.14
194	MaciekK	317	7.13
195	spacemanfromvenus	22	7
196	artirj	18	7
197	eliokim	9	7
198	edward.wilkinson6	38	6.97
199	bethands	34	6.96
200	AnotherWorld	15	6.96
201	FranekŻak	20	6.93
202	notfadeaway	26	6.93
203	prigoryan	55	6.92
204	mumpskin	15	6.91
205	Dmo	41	6.89
206	loades111	15	6.88
207	Primer	167	6.87
208	Laplace	57	6.87
209	Updogz	9	6.85