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The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Live!

Jan 10, 2025•by christian•7 comments•1 min read

🔭 The $25k Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

Jan 3, 2025•by christian• no comments•2 min read

Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool

Dec 20, 2024•by christian•5 comments•2 min read

How "Scope Sensitive" are o1-preview and GPT4o's forecasts? Not very.

Dec 9, 2024•by Tom_Metaculus•3 comments•3 min read

Follow, Predict, Withdraw, Find, Predict again

Dec 9, 2024•by Sylvain•13 comments•2 min read

Collaborative Intelligence: Harnessing Crowd Forecasting for National Security

Dec 4, 2024•by deger•1 comment•6 min read

Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

Nov 19, 2024•by dyncheng•4 comments•9 min read

Predictions as Public Works Project — What Metaculus Is Building Next

Oct 21, 2024•by Sylvain•6 comments•8 min read

Forecast With GiveWell: $3,500 in Prizes for Comments Made by End of December!

Oct 23, 2024•by RyanBeck•8 comments•2 min read

Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?

Oct 9, 2024•by Tom_Metaculus•15 comments•9 min read