MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

Metaculus News

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

Nov 19, 2024•by dyncheng• no comments•9 min read

Predictions as Public Works Project — What Metaculus Is Building Next

Oct 21, 2024•by Sylvain•3 comments•8 min read

Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?

Oct 9, 2024•by Tom_Metaculus•14 comments•9 min read

A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source

Oct 7, 2024•by Sylvain•421 comments•5 min read

(10/4 Update) AI Forecasting Benchmark Series — 10/8 Q4 Launch and More

Sep 30, 2024•by christian•2 comments•3 min read

(10/4 Update) Updates to Metaculus API

Sep 30, 2024•by christian•5 comments•3 min read

Predict the Impact of the 2024 US Presidential Election

Sep 25, 2024•by RyanBeck•2 comments•1 min read

Comparing Forecasting Track Records for AI Benchmarking and Beyond

Sep 25, 2024•by Tom_Metaculus•24 comments•26 min read

Experimenting With Metaculus Communities — Collaborate With Us

Aug 24, 2024•by christian•8 comments•2 min read

Conditional Trees for AI Risk: A New Question Series and Report

Aug 23, 2024•by lbiii• no comments•4 min read