Quarterly Cup Tournament: Q1 2025
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<img width="500" alt="Quarterly Cup Image" src="https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/user_uploaded/q1-social-min_1.jpg" /> **Update, January 10, 2025:** The first quarter 2025 Quarterly Cup opens for forecasting Monday, January 13! The tournament kicks off with the following questions: * [Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31426/large-non-contained-california-fires-on-feb-15-2025/) * [What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31372/estimated-number-of-average-viewers-of-super-bowl-lix/) * [How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31366/number-of-executive-orders-in-q1-2025/) * [How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31427/damascus-international-airport-departures-in-february-2025/) Bots will again this quarter be making forecasts on copies of these questions in the [AI Forecasting Benchmark Series](https://www.metaculus.com/aib/). Can you beat the bots? *** We are excited to invite you to participate in the [**Quarterly Cup Tournament**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/)! This repeating tournament is an opportunity for forecasters of all experience levels to compete on topical questions, get fast feedback, and be recognized for their expertise. Each week, we present a fresh set of questions on current events, and these questions will resolve throughout the quarter. Many questions feature an *extended hidden period* to help identify and reward exceptional forecasters. The [**Quarterly Cup**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/) is also a great venue for submitting your own questions and contributing to the growth and vibrancy of our forecasting community. (Find a question writing and submission guide [here](https://www.metaculus.com/question-writing/).) Writing intriguing questions that attract forecaster engagement also puts you in the running for our new [question-writing medals](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20025/new-scores-new-leaderboard-new-medals/)! If you’re new to Metaculus, the [**Quarterly Cup**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/) is an excellent opportunity to learn how the platform works. If you’re a veteran, it’s the perfect place to demonstrate your abilities. For forecasters of all levels, it’s an opportunity to hone your skills, get better calibrated, engage with your fellow forecasters, and track current events through the lens of quantified forecasting. *** The fourth quarter 2024 Quarterly Cup concluded on January 10, 2025. Congratulations to the top three winners! See the winners announcement [here](https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/31632/winners-of-the-q4-2024-quarterly-cup/), and kudos to all the previous Quarterly Cup winners: 