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Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025?

53 percentage points this week

253 forecasters

41

Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

6

Champions of Conditional Forecasting

5

Conditional Cup

Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, says ECMWF?

43 percentage points this week

207 forecasters

20

Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League?

181 forecasters

-9

Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025?

35 percentage points this week

186 forecasters

22

Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

Metaculus's First Spanish-Language Contest: Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

4

Will President Trump issue a new presidential action delaying or revoking the tariffs on Canada before March 4, 2025?

43.5 percentage points this week

761 forecasters

11

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

14 percentage points this week

3

Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

3