Question

Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024?

Resolved :No

31 comments31

Total Forecasters730

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

98.0

Community Peer Score

4.9

median 0.1%mean 0.7%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty

Permanent members of the United Nations Security Council

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

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