Question

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024?

Resolved :No

30 comments30

Total Forecasters640

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

97.7

Community Peer Score

5.2

median 0.1%mean 0.9%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Verity

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

Soviet Union

Charter of the United Nations

United Nations

France

People's Liberation Army

Will the UK or France veto a United Nations Security Council resolution before 2051?

40%

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

25%

Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?

12.5%

Comments

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