Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?

Resolved :19.5k19.8k
12
67
Total Forecasters309
Community Prediction19.8k (18.9k - 21k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100k
...
...
...
...
18.92k
19.77k
21.02k
0.2%

What was the final result?19.5k

Community Baseline Score
75.4
Community Peer Score
49.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
2011–2013 Russian protests
Russia under Vladimir Putin
Ukraine
Alexei Navalny
Russia

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