Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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M

Question

Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?

Resolved :No1%
13
18
Total Forecasters562
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
96.6
Community Peer Score
5.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Jens Stoltenberg
Volodymyr Zelensky
Ben Wallace (politician)
Ukraine–NATO relations
United States
No-fly zone
Jen Psaki
Ukraine
NATO

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