Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

Resolved :Yes25%
Total Forecasters719
Community Prediction25% (10% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-16.6
Community Peer Score
-1.2
Learn more about scores here.
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