MetaculusM

Question

Question

Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

25

Total Forecasters372

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-44.2

Community Peer Score

39.8

median 30.0%mean 30.0%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?

Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?

Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?