Question

Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

91 comments91

Total Forecasters832

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.5

Community Peer Score

32.7

median 1.0%mean 3.1%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 975

Al Jazeera•Oct 27, 2024

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Newsweek•Oct 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%