Question

Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?

Resolved :No1%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters401

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.0

Community Peer Score

4.2

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Mar 7, 2022

Closes:

Jun 29, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 30, 2022

North Atlantic Treaty

Ukraine–NATO relations

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NATO chief urges members to 'turbocharge' defense production as he paints picture of a world bound for war

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Europe and the death of Nato

Spectator (UK)•Feb 16, 2025

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