Question

Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :No

44 comments44

Total Forecasters467

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

94.8

Community Peer Score

4.7

median 2.0%mean 4.8%

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

NATO

North Atlantic Treaty

Ukraine–NATO relations

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

NATO

North Atlantic Treaty

Ukraine–NATO relations

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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%