Question

Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?

Resolved :No

40 comments40

Total Forecasters707

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

94.7

Community Peer Score

22.0

median 1.0%mean 1.6%

Authors:

stanulamstan havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine hoped to force Russia to pick between 2 fronts. Putin chose both.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Russia Launches First Missile and Drone Attack on Kyiv in Months

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Russia fires dozens of missiles and drones at Ukraine's capital as North Korean troops start fighting in Kursk

CBS•Nov 13, 2024

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