Question

When will an AI win a Nobel prize for the first time?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction2070-10-18

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2199-12-30

...

2034-07-09 07:17

2070-10-18 13:25

>2199-12-30 00:00

26.7%

Authors:

marius.hobbhahn

Opened:

Closes:

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AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Nobel Prize

When will an open-source AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

2026-06-25

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

2039-10-29

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

2026-02-25

Comments

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Authors:

marius.hobbhahn

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Nobel Prize

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