Question

Is the abc conjecture true?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction

91%

(90% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 91%

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Mar 26, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2041

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2299

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 28, 2022

Mathematicians Find Proof to 122-Year-Old Triangle-to-Square Puzzle

Scientific American•Mar 27, 2025

Quantum computers are on track to solve knotty mathematical problems

New Scientist•Mar 27, 2025

Top Math Prize Recipient Wedded Algebra and Calculus to Found a New Field

Scientific American•Mar 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the abc conjecture be settled?

Feb 2036

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

12.3%

Sums and Products

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Mar 26, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2041

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2299

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 28, 2022

Mathematicians Find Proof to 122-Year-Old Triangle-to-Square Puzzle

Scientific American•Mar 27, 2025

Quantum computers are on track to solve knotty mathematical problems

New Scientist•Mar 27, 2025

Top Math Prize Recipient Wedded Algebra and Calculus to Found a New Field

Scientific American•Mar 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the abc conjecture be settled?

Feb 2036

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

12.3%

MetaculusM

Is the abc conjecture true?

Make a Prediction

When will the abc conjecture be settled?

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

Sums and Products

Comments

When will the abc conjecture be settled?

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

Sums and Products

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